For a player that was being selected at the end of the first round in fantasy drafts, Jay Ajayi has not lived up to expectations. Fantasy owners are hoping his recent trade to the Eagles will help his fantasy production. There’s no question that moving into one of the best offenses in the league will help his fantasy value see an uptick, but the question is how great the jump will be.
Ajayi is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry this season, but has also been playing behind a dismal Dolphins offensive line. Ajayi did show flashes this season rushing for over 100 yards in two games, but he has yet to find the end zone.
After the trade, I move Ajayi up to RB2 territory, but I still have concerns about his overall value. In 2016, the bulk of Ajayi’s 1,272 yards came in four games. Ajayi rushed for 214, 206, 204 and 111 yards in his best four games which accounted for more than half of his total yards. I fear that Ajayi could be a running back that is difficult to trust in your starting lineup given his boom or bust potential. We have seen the same thing this season.
What we do know is Ajayi is going to a good opportunity in Philadelphia as it has been known the Eagles were not particularly happy with LeGarrette Blount. Darren Sproles went down with a season-ending injury, and Wendell Smallwood has not been overly impressive in his expanded role.